Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.046034 0.050091 0.054204 0.058679 0.063403 0.068235 0.073545
2025-01-19 0.040189 0.046191 0.052498 0.059592 0.067323 0.075467 0.084670
2025-01-26 0.034743 0.042035 0.049954 0.059133 0.069416 0.080525 0.093371
2025-02-02 0.030842 0.039125 0.048394 0.059425 0.072085 0.086051 0.102518
2025-02-09 0.028146 0.037275 0.047771 0.060555 0.075530 0.092349 0.112497
2025-02-16 0.026630 0.036625 0.048388 0.063000 0.080411 0.100255 0.124337
2025-02-23 0.023021 0.033124 0.045346 0.060877 0.079748 0.101610 0.128522
2025-03-02 0.020584 0.030874 0.043637 0.060187 0.080641 0.104674 0.134618
2025-03-09 0.018577 0.029008 0.042259 0.059771 0.081755 0.107920 0.140879
2025-03-16 0.017837 0.028746 0.042866 0.061799 0.085850 0.114749 0.151449
2025-03-23 0.016812 0.028012 0.042791 0.062906 0.088766 0.120140 0.160305
2025-03-30 0.015786 0.027194 0.042539 0.063730 0.091293 0.125040 0.168575
2025-04-06 0.014330 0.025693 0.041330 0.063294 0.092245 0.128069 0.174683
2025-04-13 0.013473 0.025005 0.041187 0.064242 0.094972 0.133325 0.183586
2025-04-20 0.012224 0.023637 0.040021 0.063751 0.095783 0.136153 0.189476
2025-04-27 0.011331 0.022746 0.039472 0.064055 0.097608 0.140255 0.196972
2025-05-04 0.010772 0.022335 0.039581 0.065242 0.100593 0.145843 0.206361
2025-05-11 0.010638 0.022600 0.040674 0.067815 0.105456 0.153884 0.218915
2025-05-18 0.009247 0.020678 0.038427 0.065580 0.103759 0.153384 0.220568
2025-05-25 0.008358 0.019528 0.037278 0.064853 0.104064 0.155456 0.225489
2025-06-01 0.007612 0.018565 0.036360 0.064415 0.104729 0.157978 0.230982
2025-06-08 0.007488 0.018716 0.037189 0.066550 0.108988 0.165281 0.242714
2025-06-15 0.007165 0.018472 0.037370 0.067715 0.111891 0.170798 0.252154